I’m not an epidemiologist and I’m not sure if looking statistically at these numbers is productive, so mods feel free to delete my comment if it crosses a line. I’m mainly looking at a medical journal article published on the 24th here.
The paragraph from that article I’ve been focusing on is: “As of the end of February 18, 2020, China has reported 72 528 confirmed cases (98.9% of the global total) and 1870 deaths (99.8% of the global total). This translates to a current crude CFR of 2.6%. However, the total number of COVID-19 cases is likely higher due to inherent difficulties in identifying and counting mild and asymptomatic cases. Furthermore, the still-insufficient testing capacity for COVID-19 in China means that many suspected and clinically diagnosed cases are not yet counted in the denominator. This uncertainty in the CFR may be reflected by the important difference between the CFR in Hubei (2.9%) compared with outside Hubei (0.4%). Nevertheless, all CFRs still need to be interpreted with caution and more research is required.”
Even if those initial uncertainties they mention are not the case, the split between those two rates is astronomical, and paint the situation in a wildly different light. That goes back to what I said earlier in the threat, that running those numbers without context feels sensationalist to me.